⏳ Time Value of Money (TVM)

Core Principle: A dollar today is worth more than a dollar in the future because money today can be invested to earn a return.

Covered at: All MBA programs β€” typically Week 1 of Finance


πŸ”‘ The Intuition

Money has a time cost. If someone owes you 1,000 today and have more than $1,000 by next year.

This is why we discount future cash flows to their present value when making decisions.


πŸ“ Core Formulas

Future Value (FV)

  • PV = Present Value
  • r = interest rate per period
  • n = number of periods

Example: 1,469`

Present Value (PV)

Example: What’s 1,000`

Net Present Value (NPV)

  • Accept a project if NPV > 0
  • Reject if NPV < 0
  • NPV = value created for shareholders

Perpetuity

Example: 2,000`

Growing Perpetuity (Gordon Growth Model)


πŸ’‘ Key Concepts

Why the Discount Rate Matters

The choice of discount rate is everything in valuation:

  • Low rate β†’ high PV (future cash flows are valuable)
  • High rate β†’ low PV (future is heavily discounted)
  • Companies use WACC as their discount rate for projects

Rule 72

A quick mental math shortcut:

At 8%: money doubles in ~9 years. At 6%: ~12 years.

Annuity

A stream of equal cash flows for n periods:


πŸ“Š Decision Rules

Investment RuleCriterionNotes
NPVNPV > 0Theoretically best rule
IRRIRR > hurdle rateCan mislead with non-normal CFs
Payback PeriodPB < thresholdIgnores time value (bad!)
Discounted PaybackDPB < thresholdBetter than simple payback
Profitability IndexPI > 1Useful for capital rationing

🚫 Common Mistakes

  1. Using nominal CFs with real rates (or vice versa) β€” be consistent
  2. Forgetting the terminal value in DCF models
  3. Using wrong n β€” make sure periods match the discount rate frequency
  4. Adding incremental cash flows incorrectly β€” only incremental matters

πŸ”— Connected Concepts


🏫 School Context

  • HBS Finance I: Taught via case studies; emphasis on which discount rate to choose, not the mechanics
  • Wharton FNCE 611: Heavily mathematical; derives PV rigorously from first principles
  • Booth: Context of Chicago School β€” markets are efficient, so TVM is purely mathematical
  • Columbia: Emphasis on Benjamin Graham’s margin of safety β€” conservative discounting

← πŸ“Š Finance MOC | Related: DCF Valuation Β· WACC Β· NPV vs IRR